三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

USEUROPEAFRICAASIA 中文雙語Fran?ais
Opinion
Home / Opinion / Featured Contributors

Theresa May's gamble leaves Britain adrift

By James Skinner | chinadaily.com.cn | Updated: 2017-06-12 11:20

Theresa May's gamble leaves Britain adrift

Britain's Prime Minister Theresa May leaves after a church service in Sonning, Britain June 11, 2017. [Photo/Agencies]


It must have seemed like such a good idea at the time. With a 20-point lead in the opinion polls, British Prime Minister Theresa May's decision to hold a general election was a clever and opportunistic attempt to capitalize on the Conservative party's popularity, at the expense of the opposition Labour party's weakness.

But with the Conservatives ending the night eight seats short of a majority, it is now destined to go down as one of the worst miscalculations in modern British political history.

The prime minister proved to be a wooden campaigner and a reluctant media performer?—— refusing TV debates with the other party leaders. On the other hand, Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the Labour party, had a good campaign. He rose above the low expectations of much of the media and political class and attracted voters with his mild manner and apparent authenticity. Expectations for him were so low he can treat his defeat as a victory.

Of course, the prime minister didn't need to do this; she could have continued until 2020 with her small but adequate majority.

Perhaps May had another prime minister in mind when she decided to call the election —— the ill-fated Gordon Brown. Like her, he came to power without having to fight a general election, and, like her, enjoyed high poll ratings during his first few months in power. Brown flirted with the idea of calling an election before eventually losing his nerve, going on to lose the general election in 2010. Was May trying to avoid a similar fate?

Certainly, there is likely to have been more behind her decision than her stated reason of trying to override parliamentary opposition to Brexit.

For now, thanks to the support of a small Northern Ireland party, the Conservatives can stay in power, but May will not be part of that equation for long. She is in office, but no longer in power. Her chief advisors are gone, and she will likely follow soon.

The immediate result of the election is that Britain must wrestle with a domestic political crisis at a critical time for the country –– Brexit negotiations begin on June 19.

Officially May intends to continue with her plans to negotiate Britain's exit from the EU, including its single market. Yet her authority has been fatally wounded by the election.

European leaders will know they are dealing with a leader on borrowed time and that the government only has a wafer-thin parliamentary majority to force any Brexit deal through the House of Commons.

A weaker government weakens Britain's negotiating hand.

Of course, throughout all this, the government will be at the mercy of the Democratic Unionist Party –– the Northern Ireland party lending its votes to help pass the government's program through parliament.

We are now likely to see three key consequences of the prime minister's failed gamble.

First, there will be renewed attempts to sabotage Brexit. While both the Labour and Conservative parties are committed to leaving the bloc, a majority of politicians remain opposed. There will be a renewed emphasis on pursuing a "softer" Brexit, perhaps with attempts to get Britain to remain in the single market. Any eventual deal that doesn't give the UK the ability to control its borders will anger the millions of voters who voted to leave motivated by high levels of immigration.

Second, the EU will likely try to take advantage of the weak government during the opening stages of the negotiations, especially when it comes to presenting Britain with its estimation of the exit bill to leave the bloc. The numbers that had already been floated were considerable and the EU needs the money —— it will have a big hole in its budget once the UK has left.

However, a government with a small majority will not be able to afford to pay any figure that could cause a rebellion within its own ranks —— the EU may well overplay its hand.

Finally, the Conservative party may return to the dark days of the 1990s, when a weak leader presided over a party tearing itself apart over Europe. The party is now considerably more Eurosceptic than it was during the time of John Major, but it is still home to a wide range of views on the issue. With a weak leadership negotiating Brexit, the various factions in the party will now fight for their particular type of Brexit to be the country's negotiating aim.

For Theresa May, her "strong and stable" campaign slogan will haunt her for the rest of her political life. She had warned voters about supporting Labour, promising it would lead to a "coalition of chaos".

But it is May who now presides over chaos, without the luxury of a coalition.

This election was Theresa May's to lose. She owns this defeat, and Britain is poorer for it.

James Skinner is a contributing editor at China Daily with an MA in International Relations. He has a particular interest in British and American politics, as well as global security issues.

 

Most Viewed in 24 Hours
Copyright 1995 - . All rights reserved. The content (including but not limited to text, photo, multimedia information, etc) published in this site belongs to China Daily Information Co (CDIC). Without written authorization from CDIC, such content shall not be republished or used in any form. Note: Browsers with 1024*768 or higher resolution are suggested for this site.
License for publishing multimedia online 0108263

Registration Number: 130349
FOLLOW US
主站蜘蛛池模板: 91视频最新地址 | 国产高清色播视频免费看 | 国产91精品新入口 | 清除唯美第一区二区三区 | 久久精品美女视频 | 亚洲免费黄色网 | 欧美在线精品一区二区在线观看 | 五月婷婷综合色 | 久久99精品国产麻豆宅宅 | 九九精品视频在线观看 | 成人免费高清视频网址 | 欧美操片在线观看 | 国产成人青青热久免费精品 | 2048亚洲精品国产 | 国产精品黄网站 | 五月四房播 | 国产成人精彩在线视频50 | 美女一级牲交毛片视频 | 国模双双大尺度炮交g0go | 色婷婷综合激情视频免费看 | 91麻豆免费观看 | 国产1区在线观看 | 无夜精品久久久久久 | 老色影院 | 国产激情视频在线观看首页 | 亚洲夜色综合久久 | 欧美视频在线一区二区三区 | 国产精品玖玖玖影院 | 一区二区色 | 视频偷拍一级视频在线观看 | 国产精品观看在线亚洲人成网 | 亚洲成人第一页 | 日批视频网址免费观看 | 日韩日日日 | 福利盒子在线视频免费 | 国产毛片片精品天天看视频 | 国产一级特黄一级毛片 | 尤物在线视频观看 | 久久久欧美综合久久久久 | 黄色免费看片 | 高清性色生活片免费观看 |