三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

Low birth-rate to drag down industry

By ZHENG YANGPENG (China Daily) Updated: 2015-10-23 09:45

Wang Yuan, a teacher in a township kindergarten in Xuzhou, Jiangsu province, is ideally placed to witness the fall in China's birth-rate.

Five years ago, she recalled that there were about 40 children per class. Now, Wang said there are just 30 in the class for 5-year-olds and about 20 in the class for 4-year-olds. The figure is just 10 for the class of 3-year-olds.

This sort of anecdotal evidence is being backed up by hard statistics. By the end of last year, there were 225 million Chinese who were 14 years old or younger, which was 16.5 percent of the total population.

That was slightly down from 2011 when the country's sixth national census found the ratio was 16.6 percent. But that number was considerable less than the 22.89 percent in 2000 when the fifth census was released.

According to the global consensus, a country with 15 to 18 percent of its population at 14 years old or younger is considered a "severe low-birth rate society".

Naturally, the figures have triggered a debate in China. Academics, including Mu Guangzong and Liang Jianzhang of Peking University, and Yi Fuxian of Wisconsin University, have argued that the family planning policy must be stopped immediately.

In fact, they say, the government should roll out a "population revival" scheme to avoid China falling into a low birth-rate trap.

"Nursing subsidies should be handed out to couples having more than one child," Mu said. "Other benefits should include longer maternity leave for parents, and easier access to education and health services. Having two children would be good, but three would be even better."

Already the country's aging population is having a huge impact on industry.

Last year, the labor force continued to contract with the working population of 15 to 59-year-olds down 0.6 percent, according to National Bureau of Statistics.

Even the number of migrant workers was static in the first nine months of this year from 1.9 percent growth in 2014 and 2.4 percent growth in 2013.

Shortages in the work force have already been felt in key industrial cities on the Chinese coast. In the eastern city of Zhangjiagang, home to China's largest privately owned steel mills in Jiangsu province, migrant workers and their families make up more than 40 percent of the population, according to Yao Linrong, a leading city official.

When asked what was Zhangjiagang's greatest challenge in the next five years, Yao replied: "It has to be population. We need a stable population to keep the economy growing."

At the Yonggang Group, the second largest privately owned steel maker in the country, only a few of its workers are "local" even though the company generated 35 billion yuan ($5.5 billion) in revenue last year.

Nationally, the picture is just as grim. China's total fertility rate has fallen to 1.4, well below 2.1 minimum required to replace an aging population. If that trend continues, the population will shrink by 36 percent in a generation, experts said.

Many regions face even lower birth rates. Shanghai, for example, has the lowest TFR of 0.86 for the last-decade, while the sixth census found that the northeastern region had a rate barely above 1.

Last year, the government allowed couples to have a second child if either of them is the single child in their family. Of the 11 million couples eligible to have a second child, only 1.45 million nationwide have applied for permission.

Ed Zhang contributed to this story.

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 日本一级不卡一二三区免费 | 国产午夜免费视频片夜色 | 91视频啪 | 成人最新午夜免费视频 | 99精品一区二区三区 | 亚洲精品一区vv国产 | 国产四区| 国产精品无卡无在线播放 | 国产精品成人久久久久 | 国产精品亚洲综合第一区 | 中国特级黄一级真人毛片 | 国产l精品国产亚洲区久久 国产ppp在线视频在线观看 | 天天插天天爽 | 成在线人免费视频一区二区三区 | 在线免费观看小视频 | 特大巨黑人吊与黑人性xxxx | 黄色录像在线免费观看 | 国产xxx免费观看 | 亚洲欧美日韩国产精品久久 | 国产欧美精品亚洲桃花岛 | 在线免费黄 | 福利一区二区 | 欧美成人免费mv在线播放 | 可以看毛片的网址 | 国产一区二区三区亚洲欧美 | 最近中文字幕免费完整 | 亚洲国产精品欧美综合 | 国产啪视频1000部免费视频 | 中文字幕日本亚洲欧美不卡 | 国产欧美日韩不卡在线播放在线 | 视频一区二区国产无限在线观看 | 亚洲三级影院 | 国模无水印一区二区三区 | 国产精品黄大片在线播放 | 成人精品视频在线 | 亚洲欧美久久精品1区2区 | 国产成人精品日本亚洲网站 | 来个黄色网址 | 日韩欧美国产偷亚洲清高 | 小明成人永久视频在线观看 | 看片亚洲|