三级aa视频在线观看-三级国产-三级国产精品一区二区-三级国产三级在线-三级国产在线

US EUROPE AFRICA ASIA 中文
Business / Economy

China enters slow-growth era

By Andrew Moody (China Daily) Updated: 2014-10-27 07:43

One of the challenges for China if it is trying to engineer a slowdown is whether it can achieve it without sending the rest of the world into recession and then being impacted itself again in second-round effects by the resultant fall in global demand.

Ballin at Standard Bank Group believes this is something Chinese policymakers will be very much aware of.

"There are these risks of a downward spiral. You can't just see this in terms of an isolated GDP growth decline. China is so much now integrated into the global supply chain so there is a synchronicity of risk to any slowdown," he says.

Zhu at the Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance believes there is less of a risk of this than there was five years ago when in the wake of the financial crisis the world was completely reliant on China demand.

"You can't rule out the risk of a downward spiral since China remains so important. What the world needs, however, is a China soft landing rather than a hard one. This relatively stable decline in growth that we are seeing reduces the possibility of a crash, which was what everybody feared.

"We have also moved into a situation where it is not just China contributing to global growth although it remains very significant but also the so-called frontier economies of Indonesia, Pakistan and Turkey, which gives greater scope for China to slow without destabilizing the world economy."

For Power at Investec, the real threat to global growth comes from Europe itself and not China as has been made clear by all the worrying data of the past fortnight that has created turmoil on global stock markets.

"We are now seeing Germany moving into negative growth and the whole problem with the eurozone countries. I think we are also going to see an end to the so-called German export miracle," he says.

"The Chinese are beginning to reverse engineer some of the capital goods they have been sold by the Germans such as magnetic trains. I think the US will begin to start to lose its competitive advantages, too within three to five years and we will move to a situation where there is more creativity coming from Asia."

For the moment, there is going to be increasing interest in the growth data coming out of China.

Evans-Pritchard at Capital Economics says it is often too easy to be bearish about China.

"I think a lot of people were too pessimistic after the very weak data we had in August. The latest growth figure therefore was not as bad as some people had expected," he says.

Kuijs at RBS believes the Chinese government is still very much weighing up all the options as to what growth level it wants the economy to achieve.

"I think they are still making up their mind as to how far to let this process go. I think there, however, still remains an element of ambition about achieving a certain minimum level of growth. I think that is why we are all still wondering what the growth target for next year and beyond will eventually be."

China enters slow-growth era

China enters slow-growth era

 Flash PMI for Oct brings cheer  Study: More US firms shift work back home

 

Previous Page 1 2 3 4 Next Page

Hot Topics

Editor's Picks
...
...
主站蜘蛛池模板: 国产精品推荐 | 三级视频网站在线观看播放 | 黄色三级毛片网站 | 亚洲欧美日韩中文高清ww | 国产一区二区精品久久 | 日韩欧美国产精品第一页不卡 | 久久精品嫩草影院 | yy9299| 日本成人一级 | 天天成人 | 嘿咻18视频在线看 | 亚洲成人在线播放视频 | 全免费观看a级毛片 | 国产午夜视频在永久在线观看 | 中文日韩字幕一区在线观看 | 国产精品理论片在线观看 | 99er精品 | 亚洲图片一区二区 | 久久婷婷五月综合色丁香 | 日本黄在线 | 久久综合久色欧美婷婷 | 女性被躁视频 | 久久久99精品久久久久久 | 亚洲国产成人久久综合一 | 黑色丝袜高跟国产在线91 | 欧美亚洲国产精品久久第一页 | 女人高清性色生活片 | 制服中文字幕 | 国产精品天天影视久久综合网 | 免费的黄视频 | 香蕉久久夜色精品国产2020 | 中国特级黄色毛片 | 色135综合网 | 看真人一级毛片 | 在线观看国产欧美 | 国产日韩欧美综合一区二区三区 | 操日本人 | 日韩精品一区二区三区在线观看l | 成年黄网站免费大全毛片 | 久久免费99精品久久久久久 | 欧美日韩国产片 |